Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b2a7d22bcb5ec1e7d038846589ba94d5f987681fadd68eba8c265ec35391c87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melbourne City FCof Brisbane Roar FC, Melbourne City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb074…2b84backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 256.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Brisbane Roar FC | 4c | 252.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…866fbacked Melbourne City FC | 50c | 246.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…e080backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 246.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…b314backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 245.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d4…3f2abacked Melbourne City FC | 50c | 244.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…ec08backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 244.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb479…cdcabacked Melbourne City FC | 50c | 242.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…7b54backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 242.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…0004backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.92$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…3870backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…fea6backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…dd5fbacked Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…5cb2backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8422…5907backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…87a5backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…1676backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…49f2backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…27afbacked Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…d9c3backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 241.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 240.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…5c16backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 240.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…872bbacked Melbourne City FC | 50c | 240.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…600cbacked Melbourne City FC | 50c | 240.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…a5a4backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 240.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…f54fbacked Melbourne City FC | 50c | 240.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…c973backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 239.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…347dbacked Melbourne City FC | 50c | 237.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…a607backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 233.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…43b6backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 229.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…3e01backed Melbourne City FC | 50c | 228.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)this page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.