Australian A League · resolved market
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6e0495ed7ee0b6842201d695536d20a372c3ad51386192f17de9bbe04d5d54b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 3,535$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.8 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 69c | 3,099$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 68c | 609.13$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…c48ebacked No | 45c | 219$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6361…888bbacked No | 45c | 219$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…a448backed Yes | 55c | 217.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…255fbacked Yes | 55c | 213.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…84b6backed Yes | 55c | 212.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e24…fbabbacked No | 45c | 211$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…e568backed No | 45c | 211$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…a630backed Yes | 55c | 209.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed No | 38c | 208.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…4055backed No | 45c | 207$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a94bbacked Yes | 55c | 204.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadca…9332backed Yes | 55c | 203.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…fdbcbacked No | 45c | 203$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…a999backed Yes | 55c | 202.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…70f4backed Yes | 55c | 202.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…ae3ebacked No | 45c | 201$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…f5bcbacked No | 45c | 196$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…2adbbacked Yes | 55c | 196$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…4625backed Yes | 55c | 195.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f3…75dfbacked No | 45c | 195.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…bca1backed No | 45c | 195$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 38c | 159.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 66c | 155.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 61c | 142.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 56c | 121.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 44c | 104.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 55c | 90.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 32c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 49.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Yes | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 37.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 38c | 28.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cd…1889backed Yes | 58c | 25.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…9012backed No | 56c | 23.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)Melbourne City FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.