TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf658…655ebacked Under58c4,281$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over54c4,011$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.5214060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c3,559$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7441050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under50c2,004$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Under58c1,711$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c1,582$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over61c1,524$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.542161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over44c1,002$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.965925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over51c933.78$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over40c844.06$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.474146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under15c640.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.968747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c614.93$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3619849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over37c613.51$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.511656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+206.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over36c588.1$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7113049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c569.4$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6515140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over44c543.66$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6546644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Over41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c428.94$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.525246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over33c410.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.037254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24830954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9659…1ba2backed Under49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1384…2c75backed Under49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5155…7b9fbacked Under49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c343.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under60c309.6$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.764553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1831741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over32c293.21$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.933938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Under49c244.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over45c221.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.349550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over46c219.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.054461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c212.66$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0498844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…4471backed Under50c212.43$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb0…ba2cbacked Under50c209.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over48c207.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.934546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff53…24fbbacked Under50c206.83$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7336…59eebacked Under50c206.63$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e84…0004backed Under50c206.08$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa299…6817backed Under50c206.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over35c204.4$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.858353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x98c9…e341backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6f…9e3cbacked Under50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b06…3ef9backed Under49c203.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb479…cdcabacked Under50c202.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x512c…3ff5backed Under50c202.21$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca77…d18cbacked Under50c201.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9c…e080backed Under49c201.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7611…f2a4backed Under50c201.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…e926backed Under30c201$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over50c200.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.321283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+83%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa2a…be94backed Over52c200.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b5…56cdbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c199.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.992548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over53c199.79$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbf…7007backed Under49c199.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f20…836fbacked Under50c198.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3b3…0592backed Under50c198.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d6…116abacked Under50c198.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9f…6d55backed Under50c198.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Under53c198.11$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9db7…251ebacked Under49c197.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44df…7855backed Under49c197.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486a…1c30backed Under49c197.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90da…3768backed Under49c197.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa96…d733backed Under50c197.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9b…1e98backed Under50c197.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…57babacked Under50c197.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a6c…a200backed Under50c197.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f25…4938backed Under49c197.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa731…600cbacked Under50c197.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f1…0e51backed Under49c197.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x979c…a93cbacked Under50c196.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c74…b314backed Under50c196.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a4…821dbacked Under50c196.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f28…1ea4backed Under50c196.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51d4…3f2abacked Under50c196.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51b…d43dbacked Under50c196.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3227…6df7backed Under49c196.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1231…9019backed Under49c196.41$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…5bb4backed Under50c196.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb14f…6655backed Under49c195.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6322…85a3backed Under49c195.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa285…87a5backed Under50c195.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b8…8031backed Under50c195.4$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f92…f99dbacked Under50c195.26$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d31…adbfbacked Under50c195.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9c…467dbacked Under49c195.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…4ba4backed Under50c195.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8611…da80backed Under50c195.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e68…31d8backed Under50c195.01$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53eb…ccecbacked Under50c194.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d6…a834backed Under50c194.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.