CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa859c4c9887c37d9e6812533430ee0433179a1d9cd5c6f0020da0880122a4373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 2,998$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.25 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 100 Thieves | 9c | 1,678$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.02 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 80c | 1,649$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.04 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 1,342$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.68 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 1,212$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 1,173$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.23 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked BIG | 42c | 1,117$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.77 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 1,045$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 1,024$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed BIG | 51c | 1,010$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.52 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 612.38$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 496.74$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed BIG | 42c | 493.41$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 10c | 474.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed 100 Thieves | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 438.28$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 71c | 434.77$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked BIG | 70c | 351.45$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 333.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 284.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 261.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed BIG | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked BIG | 76c | 234.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 226.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed BIG | 53c | 201.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 159.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed BIG | 65c | 147.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 146.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked BIG | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 139.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked BIG | 79c | 126.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 124.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed BIG | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,606 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L | +96.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 493 | 26%128 W · 365 L | -45.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 98.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed BIG | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 88.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BIG | 48c | 82.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BIG | 71c | 79.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 424 | 55.2%234 W · 190 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed BIG | 67c | 63.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 63.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 2,816 | 37.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L | -138.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked BIG | 60c | 60.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked BIG | 67c | 56.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…1acebacked BIG | 75c | 48.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…e891backed BIG | 79c | 39.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked BIG | 50c | 33.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed BIG | 78c | 29.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed BIG | 74c | 28.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed BIG | 72c | 20.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked BIG | 56c | 19.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.