CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a582f64c76e3289db5c247b723b21f1b031671b2c8098b2ad7f360a918fb5d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof BIG, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 5,278$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.53 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked BIG | 47c | 1,312$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.59 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 41c | 1,239$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.53 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 1,187$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.41 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed BIG | 57c | 1,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked BIG | 56c | 984.75$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.46 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked BIG | 38c | 832.5$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.35 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed BIG | 25c | 610.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…930abacked BIG | 3c | 534.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed BIG | 53c | 460.3$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.13 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 438.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BIG | 35c | 432.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG | 11c | 344.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed BIG | 56c | 316.42$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed BIG | 57c | 316.35$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 305.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed BIG | 17c | 279.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BIG | 41c | 241.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed BIG | 57c | 229.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 35c | 215.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked BIG | 21c | 207.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked BIG | 14c | 203.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 161.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked BIG | 43c | 139.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 138.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked BIG | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 95.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 85.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed BIG | 30c | 78.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BIG | 52c | 74.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed BIG | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 69.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed BIG | 49c | 65.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…375ebacked BIG | 57c | 58.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BIG | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…0c68backed BIG | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed BIG | 57c | 42.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…f084backed BIG | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed BIG | 44c | 33.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…29f0backed BIG | 44c | 33.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BIG | 56c | 30.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 54c | 28.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda11…fa0fbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 26.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked BIG | 50c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.