CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa319d7197093afbe2935ba36dedb14a010ade65efecf91dc52f83fa67041a690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.1 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 50c | 5,246$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.86 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 49c | 5,209$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.21 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed Over | 51c | 5,200$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 50c | 1,406$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.11 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 46c | 754.19$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.91 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 55c | 499.96$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 65c | 358$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.7 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Under | 35c | 358$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.7 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 193.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 34c | 97.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 47c | 95.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 37c | 85.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 47c | 79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 48c | 58.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Over | 53c | 48.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 40c | 46.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 73c | 33.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 51c | 29.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…2be4backed Under | 44c | 27.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 47c | 26.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 67c | 15.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.