Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f9b699d2f53cb6ba639f94db211d81aca74a16f7fdca28c221e53e64647e71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof NRG, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 13,104$9,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.94 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed NRG | 45c | 9,863$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.82 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 6,187$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.91 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 2,388$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.52 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed NRG | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed NRG | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked NRG | 1c | 2,116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked NRG | 1c | 2,116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked NRG | 1c | 2,116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 2,060$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.74 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed NRG | 1c | 1,881$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG | 19c | 1,864$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.55 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,661$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.28 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked NRG | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed NRG | 48c | 1,446$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.02 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…0f64backed NRG | 62c | 1,385$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 1,331$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked NRG | 30c | 1,210$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.89 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed NRG | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 18c | 997.12$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked NRG | 64c | 835.15$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.44 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 805.66$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.81 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed NRG | 36c | 792.15$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NRG | 38c | 764.2$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.78 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…97ebbacked NRG | 15c | 749.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked NRG | 15c | 668.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 660.05$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed NRG | 26c | 659.17$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed NRG | 29c | 624.23$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 602.88$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed NRG | 24c | 579.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked NRG | 20c | 500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 494.06$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed NRG | 27c | 487.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 28c | 481.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.12 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 31c | 479.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 447.02$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.86 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ee…c7dfbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 444.18$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed NRG | 32c | 408.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked NRG | 21c | 405.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 364.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed NRG | 31c | 358.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed NRG | 42c | 331.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked NRG | 62c | 330.24$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.23 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 312.44$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…7911backed NRG | 19c | 302.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 24c | 301.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed NRG | 25c | 301.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed NRG | 30c | 301.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked NRG | 28c | 300.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…ad47backed NRG | 33c | 294.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed NRG | 13c | 284.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…3648backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 283.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…aee3backed NRG | 19c | 265.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed NRG | 17c | 228$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…4022backed NRG | 65c | 221.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 31c | 215.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed NRG | 30c | 200.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed NRG | 47c | 197.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…d9babacked NRG | 53c | 186.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed NRG | 12c | 165.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed NRG | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 151.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG | 14c | 147.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed NRG | 65c | 143.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG | 22c | 137.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed NRG | 27c | 131.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked NRG | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked NRG | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 89.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked NRG | 29c | 89.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…a140backed NRG | 29c | 89.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…a438backed NRG | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NRG | 28c | 80.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed NRG | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed NRG | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 76.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked NRG | 26c | 76.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked NRG | 25c | 76.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked NRG | 61c | 58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ed25backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked NRG | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443e…1235backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 52.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NRG | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NRG | 51c | 49.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 47.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…e8b9backed NRG | 44c | 47.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked NRG | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed NRG | 34c | 36.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked NRG | 31c | 32.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 30.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…14cabacked NRG | 62c | 30.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…ec68backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 29.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 29.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…ce30backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked NRG | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…ebfdbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.