Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7972dc15ca3a1962b76341a3bcd2952bac44a1b0ec8881bab10b908bf3da0612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $549,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed GamerLegion | 49c | 96,341$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,340.79 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked MOUZ | 50c | 67,487$33,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,724.03 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed GamerLegion | 77c | 37,704$28,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,718.54 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 37,590$16,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,185.85 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed GamerLegion | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 47c | 12,598$5,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,906.43 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 55c | 12,111$6,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,661.05 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed MOUZ | 48c | 12,081$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.81 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 53c | 12,064$6,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,386.5 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked GamerLegion | 52c | 10,609$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.52 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion | 55c | 10,213$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,597.95 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed MOUZ | 48c | 10,200$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked MOUZ | 3c | 9,254$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed GamerLegion | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 52c | 7,305$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.65 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed MOUZ | 44c | 6,835$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked MOUZ | 46c | 6,501$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.66 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed MOUZ | 45c | 5,960$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.86 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked MOUZ | 55c | 5,750$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion | 52c | 5,274$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.6 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 53c | 5,218$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.46 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed GamerLegion | 52c | 5,186$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.77 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed GamerLegion | 60c | 5,014$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.89 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed GamerLegion | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed MOUZ | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 48c | 4,920$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.46 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked GamerLegion | 56c | 4,104$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.35 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 3,529$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.28 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 43c | 3,187$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.1 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 55c | 3,000$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 2,941$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.19 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked GamerLegion | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked MOUZ | 4c | 2,317$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked GamerLegion | 75c | 2,288$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.82 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed GamerLegion | 57c | 2,273$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.53 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed MOUZ | 48c | 2,269$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 60c | 2,267$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,000$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed GamerLegion | 52c | 1,950$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,901$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,750$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked GamerLegion | 53c | 1,726$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.25 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GamerLegion | 49c | 1,669$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.29 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.95 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,532$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,427$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.8 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked GamerLegion | 55c | 1,422$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.45 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed GamerLegion | 54c | 1,399$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.29 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GamerLegion | 54c | 1,370$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.84 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed GamerLegion | 67c | 1,327$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.59 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked GamerLegion | 55c | 1,316$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.23 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked GamerLegion | 59c | 1,246$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.21 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GamerLegion | 56c | 1,230$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.25 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GamerLegion | 54c | 1,198$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.87 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed GamerLegion | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked GamerLegion | 47c | 1,138$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.2 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed GamerLegion | 45c | 1,109$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.89 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed GamerLegion | 52c | 1,079$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.02 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked GamerLegion | 63c | 1,047$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.11 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed GamerLegion | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.22 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,000$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.63 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed MOUZ | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed GamerLegion | 60c | 998.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.23 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed GamerLegion | 51c | 972.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.58 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked GamerLegion | 56c | 872.59$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.5 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed GamerLegion | 48c | 789.22$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.82 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed GamerLegion | 48c | 786.41$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.41 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion | 51c | 733.37$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.63 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed GamerLegion | 66c | 706$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.04 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed GamerLegion | 50c | 683.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed GamerLegion | 52c | 659.01$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.64 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed GamerLegion | 48c | 627.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.45 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed GamerLegion | 65c | 625.68$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.08 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 55c | 610$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed GamerLegion | 53c | 600$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed GamerLegion | 56c | 580$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 570$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 556.25$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked GamerLegion | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked MOUZ | 50c | 554.66$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.08 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GamerLegion | 56c | 529$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed GamerLegion | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed GamerLegion | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion | 55c | 493.73$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.69 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed GamerLegion | 50c | 487.93$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed GamerLegion | 51c | 478.88$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed GamerLegion | 65c | 464.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked MOUZ | 25c | 450$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked MOUZ | 51c | 444.67$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed GamerLegion | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked GamerLegion | 57c | 428.15$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.37 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked MOUZ | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked GamerLegion | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed MOUZ | 48c | 383.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed GamerLegion | 45c | 377.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.