Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f685912a8546cd3e6df2b52dc9b22509c4fc1a4c62341c6c2aaed9e475a0dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed GamerLegion | 45c | 172,919$77,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,626.11 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked MOUZ | 64c | 46,754$29,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,929.78 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked MOUZ | 32c | 26,078$8,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,281.8 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked GamerLegion | 53c | 22,412$11,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,480.59 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked MOUZ | 49c | 20,591$10,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,089.81 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed MOUZ | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.97 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed GamerLegion | 75c | 19,239$14,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.44 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 16,231$7,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,747.45 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked MOUZ | 44c | 15,380$6,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.07 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed MOUZ | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ | 58c | 14,036$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed MOUZ | 46c | 13,174$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed GamerLegion | 75c | 12,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 53c | 9,135$4,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.5 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 52c | 8,614$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.38 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed GamerLegion | 40c | 8,298$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.72 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 8,125$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 62c | 8,023$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.47 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed MOUZ | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.99 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ | 58c | 7,729$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.27 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ | 50c | 7,113$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.23 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 55c | 6,721$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713.74 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion | 48c | 6,673$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.29 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GamerLegion | 53c | 6,655$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.57 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed GamerLegion | 41c | 5,442$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.78 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 47c | 5,337$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.86 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed MOUZ | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion | 47c | 4,705$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.48 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked GamerLegion | 75c | 4,080$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed MOUZ | 54c | 3,800$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.17 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 54c | 3,653$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked MOUZ | 57c | 3,157$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.85 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 51c | 2,806$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.85 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed GamerLegion | 50c | 2,468$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.55 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed GamerLegion | 48c | 2,259$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.46 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed MOUZ | 46c | 2,193$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed GamerLegion | 44c | 2,127$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.88 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion | 45c | 2,093$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.76 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked GamerLegion | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,903$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.75 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,884$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,774$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GamerLegion | 39c | 1,737$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.56 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,700$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.12 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked GamerLegion | 49c | 1,657$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.99 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,550$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.49 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked GamerLegion | 45c | 1,449$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.5 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…9110backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ | 50c | 991.71$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.14 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 990$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed GamerLegion | 62c | 964.05$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.05 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed MOUZ | 51c | 929.48$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked MOUZ | 5c | 908.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed MOUZ | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked GamerLegion | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed MOUZ | 60c | 806.42$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed GamerLegion | 41c | 759.87$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.48 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked GamerLegion | 63c | 745.88$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.33 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed MOUZ | 48c | 714.22$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.83 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked MOUZ | 63c | 707.24$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed GamerLegion | 47c | 657.9$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.69 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked GamerLegion | 62c | 645$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 59c | 619.11$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.57 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked MOUZ | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed MOUZ | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed MOUZ | 52c | 584.18$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.37 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed GamerLegion | 67c | 555$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed GamerLegion | 53c | 535.4$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.64 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked MOUZ | 49c | 529$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked GamerLegion | 41c | 528.92$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.06 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed GamerLegion | 44c | 525.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.57 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 515.87$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked GamerLegion | 69c | 505.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked GamerLegion | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed MOUZ | 33c | 500$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed MOUZ | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed GamerLegion | 50c | 498$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked MOUZ | 31c | 466.7$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed GamerLegion | 77c | 464.94$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked GamerLegion | 51c | 443.11$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.54 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked GamerLegion | 58c | 420$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked GamerLegion | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed GamerLegion | 39c | 400$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed GamerLegion | 50c | 376$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed MOUZ | 34c | 358.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed GamerLegion | 47c | 340.49$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed GamerLegion | 51c | 331.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed MOUZ | 62c | 324.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…da40backed MOUZ | 63c | 319.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed MOUZ | 34c | 303$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked GamerLegion | 70c | 301$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed MOUZ | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 50c | 281$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed MOUZ | 39c | 248.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked MOUZ | 62c | 219.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 376 | 54.8%206 W · 170 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked MOUZ | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked GamerLegion | 70c | 204.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.