CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ea9a752d78e39b3a7c0260aa592d7ab0181571529301d03e8e3f91a68d90438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked K27 | 67c | 6,247$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.48 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked magic | 31c | 5,122$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.93 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed magic | 36c | 1,818$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.03 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked K27 | 63c | 813.82$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.68 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…a167backed magic | 30c | 318.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.24 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed magic | 51c | 295.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed K27 | 75c | 267.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed K27 | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked magic | 45c | 132.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed K27 | 48c | 109.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed magic | 52c | 77.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed magic | 25c | 66.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 261 | 34.5%90 W · 171 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed magic | 41c | 53.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed K27 | 78c | 52.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked K27 | 69c | 15.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagemagic won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.