Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5ad5f234815a5bc8f1ecdca3927123c392394c462c84eaf6938664762d01340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Enjoy, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x372f…182abacked Enjoy | 1c | 5,328$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Enjoy | 51c | 4,911$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.64 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 4,457$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.73 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Enjoy | 60c | 2,963$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 1,331$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.4 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Enjoy | 45c | 1,250$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.5 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked L1ga Team | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Enjoy | 9c | 816.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 560.17$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Enjoy | 40c | 517.07$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Enjoy | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed L1ga Team | 39c | 465.57$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Enjoy | 62c | 405.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed L1ga Team | 43c | 363.83$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.14 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Enjoy | 60c | 322.19$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Enjoy | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed L1ga Team | 53c | 208.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Enjoy | 63c | 207.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Enjoy | 63c | 199.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed L1ga Team | 41c | 199.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 72c | 180.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 176.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Enjoy | 65c | 162.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Enjoy | 29c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Enjoy | 58c | 139.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Enjoy | 51c | 126.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Enjoy | 60c | 105.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Enjoy | 62c | 80.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Enjoy | 60c | 74.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d5…145fbacked Enjoy | 60c | 73.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Enjoy | 33c | 71.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Enjoy | 49c | 53.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Enjoy | 42c | 50.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed L1ga Team | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Enjoy | 62c | 41.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Enjoy | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 37.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…7104backed L1ga Team | 49c | 37.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed L1ga Team | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Enjoy | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed L1ga Team | 49c | 24.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed L1ga Team | 61c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 46c | 23.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed L1ga Team | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerEnjoy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.