CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9df01fd990b5bf8143fc3575b93ab0151c80a43a157cb6851360d07c2c02213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof BIG, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed NIP | 66c | 2,575$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.88 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed BIG | 46c | 2,329$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.92 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked NIP | 64c | 1,987$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.18 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 39c | 1,210$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.78 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP | 63c | 1,123$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.72 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…e4c9backed BIG | 33c | 1,014$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed BIG | 28c | 590.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG | 36c | 505.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.09 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked NIP | 59c | 455.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.79 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed BIG | 20c | 444.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 32c | 395.65$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed NIP | 76c | 383.33$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked BIG | 30c | 382.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 51c | 259.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.17 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 73c | 247.26$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BIG | 35c | 245.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked BIG | 36c | 236.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked BIG | 49c | 198.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked BIG | 42c | 163.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed BIG | 40c | 160.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed NIP | 58c | 157.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 52c | 131.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NIP | 51c | 102.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…d554backed BIG | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed NIP | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…316ebacked NIP | 50c | 97.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed NIP | 66c | 75.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked NIP | 50c | 60.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed NIP | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BIG | 36c | 56.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed BIG | 36c | 48.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked BIG | 29c | 40.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed NIP | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed NIP | 55c | 38.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed BIG | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.