TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof BIG, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP60c9,926$5,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,935.242,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG47c4,017$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.591,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG43c3,130$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.067,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x656d…e4c9backed BIG37c2,905$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.661060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked BIG47c2,664$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.2398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed NIP58c2,512$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.0337646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked NIP49c2,002$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.9532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed NIP59c1,899$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.6912253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked NIP1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP53c1,280$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.184,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed BIG30c1,201$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.262350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BIG44c1,149$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.294,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed BIG74c1,116$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.114568.9%31 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BIG49c835.75$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.596,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e2…9aeebacked BIG31c827.23$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.915240.4%21 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc68…f899backed NIP52c653.57$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.924047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked BIG32c637.69$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.5929235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed BIG21c616.86$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.273641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BIG43c612.19$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.545,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked BIG61c446.96$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6535744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked BIG52c421.7$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4131852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked NIP46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5235449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed NIP47c399.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18836749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed BIG66c380.43$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1125142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BIG51c379.83$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.852,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed NIP48c325$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed BIG52c320.5$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8433146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed NIP70c319.37$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4838552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked BIG51c315.89$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2719652%102 W · 94 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed NIP48c311.96$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5215142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed BIG32c309.07$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.021,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed BIG32c283.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4343544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed BIG56c279.14$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3898856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BIG53c255.97$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1463541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed BIG50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12538452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…316ebacked BIG38c248.87$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+48.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed BIG60c244.61$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.358762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed NIP50c242.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2556738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed BIG56c237.5$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.544748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74f…a9cebacked NIP49c211.47$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a49…4022backed NIP47c206.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NIP39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed BIG48c197.64$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed NIP28c181.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9329934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed NIP57c151.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8155950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked NIP44c146.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6127548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked NIP47c144.47$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5918933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed BIG52c135.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1118352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed BIG47c116.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.522650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked NIP49c112.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2629052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed NIP48c111.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2817236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked BIG55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked BIG25c98.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.711,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed BIG52c92.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9914848%71 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…831dbacked NIP21c90$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.97943%34 W · 45 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb14…9235backed NIP66c87.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.151729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x598e…7336backed NIP46c86.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.751560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed BIG53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.940155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed NIP42c64.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.41,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NIP42c58.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4760848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed NIP22c56.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7518037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed BIG54c55.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.689948.5%48 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed BIG44c54.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.738748.3%42 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed BIG58c54.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.741,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed NIP43c54.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2552951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked BIG56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9545663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked NIP47c48.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8133057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…4b6dbacked BIG52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked BIG36c45.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.841,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NIP58c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.12,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked BIG41c43.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7911341.6%47 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NIP43c42.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.374,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked BIG49c42.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.617251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NIP40c41.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.742,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked BIG59c41.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9239353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2295…8f0fbacked BIG36c39.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5742246.2%195 W · 227 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa212…57d0backed BIG52c37.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf5…e7c3backed NIP77c34.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.639753.6%52 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8120…a9f1backed BIG54c29.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.428151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed BIG44c23.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed BIG66c19.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.681,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b0d…37a2backed BIG60c19.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.813250%16 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.