Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x292589a573fdc70f13637af74314813d0de206217bcf06173a5ae8583ddea8e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Mentality Monster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Mentality Monster | 43c | 2,101$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.21 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Mentality Monster | 5c | 999.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Mentality Monster | 2c | 931.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +608.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Mentality Monster | 12c | 486.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Mentality Monster | 50c | 382$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 59c | 380.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 51c | 374.38$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.1 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…00abbacked Mentality Monster | 32c | 353.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed REKONIX | 68c | 294.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Mentality Monster | 35c | 271.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Mentality Monster | 17c | 254.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Mentality Monster | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 53c | 245$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 67c | 231.23$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Mentality Monster | 45c | 223.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed REKONIX | 62c | 222$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed REKONIX | 61c | 162.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed REKONIX | 53c | 162$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked REKONIX | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked REKONIX | 53c | 144.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…65f4backed Mentality Monster | 16c | 139.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked REKONIX | 51c | 134$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 70c | 129.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Mentality Monster | 44c | 129.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Mentality Monster | 13c | 118$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 51c | 107.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 68c | 100.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Mentality Monster | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Mentality Monster | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked REKONIX | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…bc65backed Mentality Monster | 50c | 98.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…fbf1backed Mentality Monster | 15c | 98.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed REKONIX | 60c | 96.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked REKONIX | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Mentality Monster | 42c | 90.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed REKONIX | 64c | 69.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed REKONIX | 68c | 67.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Mentality Monster | 31c | 67.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…358abacked Mentality Monster | 18c | 66.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX | 57c | 65.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed REKONIX | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked REKONIX | 74c | 60.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed REKONIX | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed REKONIX | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked REKONIX | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked REKONIX | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Mentality Monster | 38c | 43.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…dd8dbacked REKONIX | 69c | 41.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed REKONIX | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 51c | 39.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…858abacked Mentality Monster | 31c | 37.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed REKONIX | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbe…2237backed REKONIX | 66c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c248backed REKONIX | 45c | 24.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Mentality Monster | 45c | 23.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed REKONIX | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked REKONIX | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed REKONIX | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…1c37backed REKONIX | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed REKONIX | 52c | 19.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 WinnerMentality Monster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.