Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bf2596b249988fba6711ee570dc902fa433eaa97a92cda5b51d24a2a312df33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Execration, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Execration | 45c | 31,869$14,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,348.07 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 56c | 17,825$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,825.5 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 57c | 6,661$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.02 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX | 70c | 3,748$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.81 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed REKONIX | 52c | 3,002$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.41 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Execration | 41c | 2,900$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed REKONIX | 61c | 1,500$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed REKONIX | 61c | 1,250$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed REKONIX | 63c | 1,154$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.59 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Execration | 44c | 1,054$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.23 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Execration | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 48c | 951.7$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.94 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed REKONIX | 69c | 928.95$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.54 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked REKONIX | 68c | 879.3$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.12 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 55c | 850.23$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.72 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked REKONIX | 58c | 792.16$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 35c | 749.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…bd1ebacked Execration | 32c | 634.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Execration | 20c | 629.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 62c | 619.74$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.88 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed Execration | 43c | 572$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.78 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 67c | 545.84$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Execration | 45c | 545.55$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Execration | 15c | 499.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Execration | 30c | 493.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.82 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Execration | 32c | 438.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Execration | 24c | 400.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Execration | 19c | 384.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Execration | 42c | 380.43$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Execration | 39c | 361.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked REKONIX | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked REKONIX | 60c | 331$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Execration | 43c | 308.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed REKONIX | 62c | 291.06$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed REKONIX | 51c | 285.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Execration | 24c | 249.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Execration | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed REKONIX | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked REKONIX | 60c | 168$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Execration | 36c | 163.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…7ef4backed REKONIX | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked REKONIX | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked REKONIX | 55c | 128$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Execration | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked REKONIX | 58c | 118.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked REKONIX | 58c | 103.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Execration | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed REKONIX | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked REKONIX | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed REKONIX | 66c | 98.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed REKONIX | 69c | 96.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Execration | 29c | 88.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Execration | 45c | 87.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Execration | 31c | 79.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Execration | 36c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed REKONIX | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Execration | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Execration | 41c | 65.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Execration | 46c | 65.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Execration | 23c | 61.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed REKONIX | 65c | 59.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Execration | 31c | 55.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked REKONIX | 56c | 53.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Execration | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…4ef6backed Execration | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed REKONIX | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed REKONIX | 59c | 48.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Execration | 29c | 47.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbe…2237backed Execration | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Execration | 25c | 41.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked REKONIX | 51c | 39.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed REKONIX | 51c | 37.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Execration | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed REKONIX | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed REKONIX | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Execration | 52c | 30.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Execration | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Execration | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1a…df7ebacked REKONIX | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…25b2backed REKONIX | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked REKONIX | 79c | 24.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked REKONIX | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked REKONIX | 65c | 22.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4c…87b0backed REKONIX | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5)REKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.