Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7258d231cc3f59361e1b2e203f0daa96f761c65cddf5e7ecb150a1f820bc221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Execration, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 53c | 1,996$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.71 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Execration | 22c | 1,494$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Execration | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 64c | 799.49$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.49 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Execration | 31c | 528.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Execration | 41c | 515.12$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Execration | 34c | 441.02$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.61 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked REKONIX | 78c | 399.78$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 66c | 349$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 34c | 289.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Execration | 45c | 275.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Execration | 45c | 224.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed REKONIX | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 16c | 211.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 58c | 203.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed REKONIX | 64c | 200.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed Execration | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Execration | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Execration | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed REKONIX | 56c | 199.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 61c | 191.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…7ef4backed REKONIX | 58c | 189.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Execration | 44c | 181.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Execration | 48c | 178.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Execration | 34c | 176.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed REKONIX | 58c | 169.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Execration | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Execration | 38c | 164.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked REKONIX | 59c | 118.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Execration | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed REKONIX | 55c | 99.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed REKONIX | 63c | 95.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked REKONIX | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Execration | 49c | 80.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed REKONIX | 64c | 76.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed REKONIX | 54c | 74.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed REKONIX | 50c | 67.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed REKONIX | 75c | 66.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked REKONIX | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Execration | 55c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Execration | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Execration | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Execration | 28c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…87cdbacked Execration | 43c | 33.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Execration | 38c | 32.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Execration | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed REKONIX | 65c | 29.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Execration | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed REKONIX | 60c | 20.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5)REKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.