Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Hady Habib
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x218e20f565652996b3af8b9d01b3c689da1fccbae28ca6d85c623c88946f4bce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fucsovicsof Fucsovics, Habib
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Habib | 0c | 4,536$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Habib | 12c | 2,488$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.42 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Habib | 10c | 2,405$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Habib | 12c | 1,963$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.19 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Habib | 13c | 1,941$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Habib | 16c | 1,199$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Habib | 10c | 974.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Habib | 16c | 751.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Habib | 16c | 702.05$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Habib | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Habib | 10c | 428$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Habib | 17c | 424$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Habib | 14c | 290.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Habib | 18c | 208$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Habib | 13c | 173.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Habib | 12c | 122.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Habib | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Habib | 16c | 98.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Habib | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Habib | 17c | 90.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Habib | 23c | 87.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Fucsovics | 80c | 82.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Habib | 17c | 81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Fucsovics | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Fucsovics | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Hady Habibthis page
- Fucsovics vs. Habib: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Fucsovics (-1.5) vs Habib (+1.5)Fucsovics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.