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Tennis · resolved market

ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zongyu Liof Mei Yamaguchi, Zongyu Li
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Zongyu Li66c4,609$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.112,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mei Yamaguchi27c3,070$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.366,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Zongyu Li61c2,287$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.7821046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Mei Yamaguchi31c1,848$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.931,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Zongyu Li67c1,594$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.231,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Mei Yamaguchi40c1,114$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.4257427.5%158 W · 416 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Mei Yamaguchi12c810.11$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9896135.4%340 W · 621 L-40.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Mei Yamaguchi17c736.02$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4329533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Mei Yamaguchi28c677.93$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.281,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Mei Yamaguchi3c524.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.582,89939.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Mei Yamaguchi28c503.97$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.881,85741%762 W · 1,095 L-32.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mei Yamaguchi39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Mei Yamaguchi50c492.7$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1516050.6%81 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Mei Yamaguchi22c398.74$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2735444.6%158 W · 196 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Mei Yamaguchi22c287.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2831331.3%98 W · 215 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mei Yamaguchi20c259$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.644,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Zongyu Li51c250.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.981,47245%662 W · 810 L+42.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mei Yamaguchi35c232.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.156,64946.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L-38.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Zongyu Li60c223.91$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.612,78153.8%1,495 W · 1,286 L+71.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Zongyu Li64c212.64$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.266,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Mei Yamaguchi40c209.1$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3893048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Mei Yamaguchi16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Zongyu Li76c185.29$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2931235.3%110 W · 202 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Zongyu Li55c180.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4769253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Mei Yamaguchi30c164.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.411,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Mei Yamaguchi18c161.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.882,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Mei Yamaguchi41c160.52$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.145,55348.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Zongyu Li53c157$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.054,68448.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L+35.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mei Yamaguchi45c155.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.82,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Mei Yamaguchi19c149.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2840527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Zongyu Li60c140.53$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.711,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Mei Yamaguchi14c134.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0222113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zongyu Li66c122.75$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.998,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Mei Yamaguchi50c118.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0183823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e59…7fdfbacked Zongyu Li60c116.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.226139.3%24 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Mei Yamaguchi30c75.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.891755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Mei Yamaguchi27c75.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014813.5%20 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Zongyu Li53c74.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7779646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mei Yamaguchi44c74.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.727,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Mei Yamaguchi16c72.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.682,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Zongyu Li55c61.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7890559.6%539 W · 366 L+1.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Mei Yamaguchi46c54.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2572651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Zongyu Li54c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3837158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Zongyu Li64c50.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.845,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Zongyu Li58c49.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9764947.6%309 W · 340 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Mei Yamaguchi29c48.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9283047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Zongyu Li76c42.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0415570.3%109 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a4…cdb9backed Zongyu Li64c41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.647981%64 W · 15 L+15.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+29.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Zongyu Li77c37.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61,14045.4%518 W · 622 L-34.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Zongyu Li79c26.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.653,88555%2,137 W · 1,748 L+111.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Zongyu Li70c23.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2423427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0e65…d1d3backed Zongyu Li62c22.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.585466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Zongyu Li68c22.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.095034%17 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Zongyu Li80c22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.492046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Zongyu Li54c21.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.774746.1%344 W · 403 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zongyu Li79c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.651,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.