Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Shintaro Mochizuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a7afee2f409cd44ef7ec7573090c57ae6fe9d1b98a56c43e41e4939f57f4c11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perricardof Perricard, Mochizuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mochizuki | 14c | 18,395$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.11 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mochizuki | 17c | 5,999$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.16 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mochizuki | 15c | 4,693$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mochizuki | 9c | 3,630$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.91 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Perricard | 77c | 2,552$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.93 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mochizuki | 14c | 2,217$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.21 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Mochizuki | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Perricard | 68c | 1,912$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.91 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Mochizuki | 32c | 1,674$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Mochizuki | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Mochizuki | 33c | 898$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.34 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Mochizuki | 13c | 846.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Perricard | 68c | 827.94$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.94 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Perricard | 67c | 760$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Perricard | 67c | 753.73$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.73 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Mochizuki | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Perricard | 75c | 594$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…041dbacked Mochizuki | 11c | 562.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mochizuki | 16c | 521.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Perricard | 74c | 514$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.71 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Perricard | 75c | 513$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Perricard | 68c | 463$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mochizuki | 9c | 445.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Mochizuki | 7c | 431.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mochizuki | 32c | 414.16$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Perricard | 73c | 411.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Perricard | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Perricard | 80c | 344.54$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Perricard | 67c | 304$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mochizuki | 17c | 300.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Mochizuki | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mochizuki | 32c | 298.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Perricard | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…e4b0backed Perricard | 67c | 290$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Mochizuki | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Perricard | 66c | 268.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mochizuki | 29c | 259.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Mochizuki | 16c | 212.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Perricard | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…e61abacked Mochizuki | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mochizuki | 18c | 194.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…040cbacked Mochizuki | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mochizuki | 21c | 160.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Perricard | 79c | 156.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Mochizuki | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…bb7abacked Perricard | 68c | 147.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Perricard | 74c | 146$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mochizuki | 31c | 144.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Perricard | 70c | 143.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Perricard | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Perricard | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Mochizuki | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mochizuki | 30c | 105.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Perricard | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Mochizuki | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Mochizuki | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mochizuki | 31c | 92.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Mochizuki | 31c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Mochizuki | 14c | 80.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Perricard | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mochizuki | 19c | 68.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Mochizuki | 34c | 64.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Perricard | 68c | 54.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…1c7dbacked Perricard | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Perricard | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…33ddbacked Perricard | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mochizuki | 31c | 35.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Perricard | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…85c8backed Perricard | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Perricard | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Perricard | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Perricard | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Perricard | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Perricard | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Perricard | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Perricard | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.