Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafec37e31583aaa1f10682bfadfcce2a8d8201ce70ec5c0bb2ea83e541bf78e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Riyadh Saudi Clubof Al Ittihad Saudi Club, Al Riyadh Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,766 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 36c | 887.29$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 36c | 629.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 64c | 439.17$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…5fa2backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 65c | 329.26$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 64c | 229.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 64c | 222.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 64c | 218.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 64c | 218.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…b743backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 61c | 198$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 64c | 176.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 66c | 78.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 35c | 48.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 59c | 46.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 38c | 35.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 35c | 33.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 65c | 27.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.