Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bbcbd01bf6c4208aef60e6c989a08d1275ab81a8181316b1b5c42b5545bccf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,173 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 43c | 2,014$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.82 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 1,336$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 677.75$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…1e95backed Over | 52c | 457.5$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 432$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 40c | 242$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 210$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 209.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 60c | 195$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…a44cbacked Over | 59c | 185.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 183$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 39c | 155.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 130.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 40c | 99.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 41c | 85.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 65.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 71c | 61.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 60c | 50.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 40c | 50.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 73c | 45.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 41c | 43.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 44c | 39.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Over | 67c | 17.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.