Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb1271ecfce3a09fdb8621ff7c24cc8ebf64ab098e03b4d37f2ec3c99b9326ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Poor Rangersof L1ga Team, Poor Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Poor Rangers | 55c | 3,700$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.98 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed L1ga Team | 2c | 2,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 1,211$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 1,203$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.02 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed L1ga Team | 44c | 1,165$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.31 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Poor Rangers | 56c | 982.45$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.83 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Poor Rangers | 60c | 840$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Poor Rangers | 54c | 746.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.74 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed L1ga Team | 43c | 690.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed L1ga Team | 45c | 644.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 559.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 42c | 528.13$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.88 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 519.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Poor Rangers | 43c | 468.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.89 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Poor Rangers | 61c | 415.62$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.78 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Poor Rangers | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Poor Rangers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed Poor Rangers | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Poor Rangers | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Poor Rangers | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Poor Rangers | 54c | 358.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.82 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Poor Rangers | 47c | 308$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Poor Rangers | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed L1ga Team | 74c | 257.63$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.65 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed L1ga Team | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed L1ga Team | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 249.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 51c | 236.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Poor Rangers | 65c | 230.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Poor Rangers | 39c | 229$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.89 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Poor Rangers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Poor Rangers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Poor Rangers | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Poor Rangers | 54c | 186.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed L1ga Team | 9c | 183.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Poor Rangers | 45c | 176.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 157.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Poor Rangers | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed L1ga Team | 43c | 151.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Poor Rangers | 53c | 151.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Poor Rangers | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked L1ga Team | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked L1ga Team | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed L1ga Team | 41c | 147$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Poor Rangers | 44c | 142.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Poor Rangers | 51c | 134$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Poor Rangers | 51c | 134$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Poor Rangers | 47c | 122$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Poor Rangers | 47c | 122$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 59c | 115.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed L1ga Team | 49c | 102.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Poor Rangers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed L1ga Team | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed L1ga Team | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed L1ga Team | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 75c | 97.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Poor Rangers | 57c | 96.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed L1ga Team | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked L1ga Team | 33c | 89.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Poor Rangers | 55c | 89.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Poor Rangers | 49c | 71.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed L1ga Team | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed L1ga Team | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Poor Rangers | 49c | 65.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked L1ga Team | 23c | 64.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Poor Rangers | 60c | 55.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Poor Rangers | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…2d93backed Poor Rangers | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Poor Rangers | 49c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Poor Rangers | 30c | 53.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Poor Rangers | 57c | 52.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Poor Rangers | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…d11bbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 51.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Poor Rangers | 57c | 50.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed L1ga Team | 40c | 50.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed L1ga Team | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Poor Rangers | 57c | 48.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Poor Rangers | 67c | 48.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Poor Rangers | 34c | 47.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Poor Rangers | 66c | 45.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed L1ga Team | 45c | 44.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Poor Rangers | 62c | 40.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed L1ga Team | 50c | 38.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Poor Rangers | 42c | 36.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed L1ga Team | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Poor Rangers | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Poor Rangers | 49c | 29.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Poor Rangers | 51c | 29.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked L1ga Team | 42c | 26.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…47c0backed Poor Rangers | 42c | 26.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484d…8a3dbacked L1ga Team | 52c | 25.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…4d58backed Poor Rangers | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Poor Rangers | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…612fbacked Poor Rangers | 64c | 23.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed L1ga Team | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…baa3backed L1ga Team | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPoor Rangers won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPoor Rangers won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.