Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e6b3eca6846a32e2b326edc01fe3f2d01cc35e6da17857370761aaf94e2eb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Poor Rangersof L1ga Team, Poor Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Poor Rangers | 55c | 3,457$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.8 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 20c | 2,370$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.51 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed L1ga Team | 45c | 1,851$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Poor Rangers | 63c | 1,647$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.14 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 51c | 1,302$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 50c | 1,106$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed L1ga Team | 45c | 747.59$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.42 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Poor Rangers | 53c | 662.13$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.68 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Poor Rangers | 56c | 549.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 482.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 379.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked L1ga Team | 52c | 310$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 301.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…b1e7backed Poor Rangers | 77c | 294$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…0e1cbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 254.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Poor Rangers | 65c | 248.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Poor Rangers | 71c | 241.83$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Poor Rangers | 52c | 222.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 204$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed L1ga Team | 50c | 200.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Poor Rangers | 58c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Poor Rangers | 50c | 195.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked L1ga Team | 40c | 191.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…9187backed L1ga Team | 13c | 189.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed L1ga Team | 47c | 185.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Poor Rangers | 60c | 184.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed L1ga Team | 18c | 165.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Poor Rangers | 65c | 160$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 43c | 139.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 25c | 127.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Poor Rangers | 76c | 101.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Poor Rangers | 53c | 100.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 41c | 96.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Poor Rangers | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 91.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Poor Rangers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed L1ga Team | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed L1ga Team | 51c | 77.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed L1ga Team | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Poor Rangers | 56c | 70.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Poor Rangers | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Poor Rangers | 51c | 59.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed L1ga Team | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Poor Rangers | 75c | 49.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…8c59backed L1ga Team | 29c | 48.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Poor Rangers | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Poor Rangers | 49c | 46.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Poor Rangers | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed L1ga Team | 26c | 44.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Poor Rangers | 51c | 43.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed L1ga Team | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 51c | 34.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Poor Rangers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Poor Rangers | 58c | 31.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Poor Rangers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Poor Rangers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Poor Rangers | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Poor Rangers | 51c | 29.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Poor Rangers | 58c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…e6cebacked Poor Rangers | 73c | 20.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Poor Rangers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPoor Rangers won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPoor Rangers won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.