TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Poor Rangersof L1ga Team, Poor Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team43c1,815$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.1381029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Poor Rangers56c1,484$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.835949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0f…4790backed Poor Rangers57c1,235$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed L1ga Team42c928.8$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.095639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed L1ga Team44c500.01$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22017737.9%67 W · 110 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed L1ga Team58c499.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9933541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045940.5%186 W · 273 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed L1ga Team43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009341.9%39 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team43c453.32$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19429240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Poor Rangers56c353.43$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5113854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Poor Rangers56c353.43$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.514652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Poor Rangers58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.836031.7%19 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked L1ga Team53c317.79$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.325940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team46c304.63$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4753139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Poor Rangers55c297.66$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.852572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x883d…d2e8backed L1ga Team37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed L1ga Team42c226.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Poor Rangers44c222.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.62347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed Poor Rangers56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.291060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Poor Rangers59c209.15$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2529432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Poor Rangers60c204.27$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.522,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Poor Rangers42c200.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5741037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked Poor Rangers76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked L1ga Team49c198.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9841244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Poor Rangers60c188.95$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.771,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Poor Rangers56c183.93$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.937549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Poor Rangers53c175$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.256842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Poor Rangers78c156.02$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.881,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Poor Rangers67c151.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.571,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Poor Rangers53c149.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.569552.2%363 W · 332 L+45.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Poor Rangers56c146.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4314643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed L1ga Team47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.840844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team44c138.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7190756.1%509 W · 398 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Poor Rangers58c137$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34ee…b742backed Poor Rangers79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Poor Rangers80c125.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4813148.1%63 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…e759backed L1ga Team52c123.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked L1ga Team45c118$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.159154%319 W · 272 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Poor Rangers61c111.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.027639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Poor Rangers54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1151550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Poor Rangers56c101.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7913941.7%58 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed L1ga Team43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439055.6%50 W · 40 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed L1ga Team44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420738.6%80 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Poor Rangers60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407842.3%33 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4179343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed L1ga Team20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed L1ga Team26c98.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0941055.1%226 W · 184 L+39.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked L1ga Team41c96.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6421045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ba…f4febacked L1ga Team38c96.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed L1ga Team46c91.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9111846.6%55 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked L1ga Team40c87.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.976544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed L1ga Team62c80.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021344.1%94 W · 119 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Poor Rangers59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.756141%25 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Poor Rangers53c62.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.521,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed L1ga Team49c61.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Poor Rangers79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6315069.3%104 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed L1ga Team44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225047.6%119 W · 131 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Poor Rangers60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1850353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ac…fd38backed L1ga Team40c43.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Poor Rangers58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.128252.5%148 W · 134 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6936…8f48backed Poor Rangers58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce8…75f2backed L1ga Team47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012132.2%39 W · 82 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Poor Rangers79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ed…1c75backed Poor Rangers79c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Poor Rangers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0918262.6%114 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked L1ga Team41c34.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Poor Rangers49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.348868.2%60 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed L1ga Team42c31.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2867853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4063…ea8dbacked L1ga Team49c30.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed L1ga Team42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.618347%86 W · 97 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Poor Rangers59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.310048%48 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ee…2e79backed L1ga Team43c28.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Poor Rangers47c21.45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3725149%123 W · 128 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8634…1b5bbacked Poor Rangers58c18.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.941752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Poor Rangers56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.926043.3%26 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Poor Rangers70c14.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.354247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.