Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29052d529702ca89fadfd604f7f6c9d30e3f8bb312e3516541095cdee11ddb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Poor Rangersof L1ga Team, Poor Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 43c | 1,815$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.13 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Poor Rangers | 56c | 1,484$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.83 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…4790backed Poor Rangers | 57c | 1,235$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed L1ga Team | 42c | 928.8$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.09 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed L1ga Team | 44c | 500.01$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed L1ga Team | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed L1ga Team | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 453.32$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Poor Rangers | 56c | 353.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Poor Rangers | 56c | 353.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Poor Rangers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked L1ga Team | 53c | 317.79$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 304.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Poor Rangers | 55c | 297.66$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed L1ga Team | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed L1ga Team | 42c | 226.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Poor Rangers | 44c | 222.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed Poor Rangers | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Poor Rangers | 59c | 209.15$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Poor Rangers | 60c | 204.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Poor Rangers | 42c | 200.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Poor Rangers | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked L1ga Team | 49c | 198.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Poor Rangers | 60c | 188.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Poor Rangers | 56c | 183.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Poor Rangers | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Poor Rangers | 78c | 156.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Poor Rangers | 67c | 151.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Poor Rangers | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Poor Rangers | 56c | 146.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed L1ga Team | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 138.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Poor Rangers | 58c | 137$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…b742backed Poor Rangers | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Poor Rangers | 80c | 125.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…e759backed L1ga Team | 52c | 123.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Poor Rangers | 61c | 111.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Poor Rangers | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Poor Rangers | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed L1ga Team | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed L1ga Team | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Poor Rangers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed L1ga Team | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed L1ga Team | 26c | 98.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 96.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…f4febacked L1ga Team | 38c | 96.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed L1ga Team | 46c | 91.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked L1ga Team | 40c | 87.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed L1ga Team | 62c | 80.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Poor Rangers | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Poor Rangers | 53c | 62.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed L1ga Team | 49c | 61.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Poor Rangers | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed L1ga Team | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Poor Rangers | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…fd38backed L1ga Team | 40c | 43.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Poor Rangers | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…8f48backed Poor Rangers | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed L1ga Team | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Poor Rangers | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ed…1c75backed Poor Rangers | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Poor Rangers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 182 | 62.6%114 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Poor Rangers | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed L1ga Team | 42c | 31.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…ea8dbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 30.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed L1ga Team | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Poor Rangers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…2e79backed L1ga Team | 43c | 28.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Poor Rangers | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…1b5bbacked Poor Rangers | 58c | 18.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Poor Rangers | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Poor Rangers | 70c | 14.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPoor Rangers won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPoor Rangers won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.