Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x389e49e9dfe61bce22d528712639a5f9c3a08953c19a2883cfe750232d773a79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Zhiye FCof Zhejiang Zhiye FC, Qingdao Xihaian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,068 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 51c | 4,268$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.21 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 49c | 4,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 46c | 2,058$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.51 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.47per pick | 40cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 54c | 1,954$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.91 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 67c | 292.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 47c | 231.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 54c | 127.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 33c | 75.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 33c | 72.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 33c | 72.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 33c | 71.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 54c | 70.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 47c | 66.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 49c | 29.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…a5f1backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 54c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)this page
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.