Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x833f4304d02f6470d57aac6d0e8cdbb82d2686cec3c5e15441b43bbedb955d9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Bushido Wildcats, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 1,927$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.14 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 810$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.9 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 595.39$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 411.39$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.76 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 280.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 249.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 181.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Fire Flux Esports | 70c | 115.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 70.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 53.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Bushido Wildcats | 26c | 43.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…57bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb324…e5bebacked Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 34.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Fire Flux Esports | 68c | 32.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Valorant: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.