CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1468555d08b06edde22d54447e9d2ec22df877e78275f1dc0dc073c5c1cff7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WHITEBIRDof FORZE Reload, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed FORZE Reload | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed WHITEBIRD | 40c | 2,220$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WHITEBIRD | 72c | 1,193$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.27 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked WHITEBIRD | 40c | 712.5$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked FORZE Reload | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 43c | 482.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked WHITEBIRD | 40c | 370.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked WHITEBIRD | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FORZE Reload | 25c | 164.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed FORZE Reload | 56c | 124.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked FORZE Reload | 28c | 107.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked WHITEBIRD | 40c | 90.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed FORZE Reload | 41c | 88.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked FORZE Reload | 39c | 82.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 52.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…1942backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 45.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…20e7backed WHITEBIRD | 69c | 31.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed WHITEBIRD | 75c | 30.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed WHITEBIRD | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed WHITEBIRD | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed WHITEBIRD | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.