Fifa International · resolved market
Gold Cup Final: USA vs. Mexico: Both Teams To Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ab8049b694de77f8764832ba6d338d47b98a2e33724c3d6885eb44c841d6ae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 48c | 2,080$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 52c | 627$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.04 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 51c | 480.13$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.79 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 52c | 387.87$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.69 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed Yes | 48c | 184.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 50c | 179.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 58c | 173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9861…1603backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 49c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.