Lol · resolved market
MSI Playoffs: Movistar KOI vs. Bilibili Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2745ea7a131436527b72afe26a521da2218fca6f46b90e1cac13889c207e1028
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Movistar KOI, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Movistar KOI | 12c | 51,550$6,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,172.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Movistar KOI | 11c | 38,091$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.26 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Movistar KOI | 11c | 21,111$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.21 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Movistar KOI | 11c | 12,048$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.38 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Movistar KOI | 13c | 7,310$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.32 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Movistar KOI | 11c | 6,524$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.64 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Movistar KOI | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Movistar KOI | 11c | 2,948$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Movistar KOI | 15c | 2,616$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.63 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Movistar KOI | 13c | 2,404$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.46 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…2986backed Movistar KOI | 12c | 2,322$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…25c0backed Movistar KOI | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Movistar KOI | 11c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Movistar KOI | 15c | 1,859$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Movistar KOI | 9c | 1,593$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…43f7backed Movistar KOI | 12c | 1,417$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 11c | 1,309$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Movistar KOI | 12c | 1,147$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Movistar KOI | 13c | 799.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Movistar KOI | 12c | 680$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1,144 | 63.3%724 W · 420 L | +53.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Movistar KOI | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked Movistar KOI | 12c | 507.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…40dcbacked Movistar KOI | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Movistar KOI | 12c | 477.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00a…8c85backed Movistar KOI | 13c | 372.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Movistar KOI | 10c | 370$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Movistar KOI | 10c | 304.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Movistar KOI | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Movistar KOI | 14c | 230.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…8318backed Movistar KOI | 13c | 207.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Movistar KOI | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Movistar KOI | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Movistar KOI | 12c | 196.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Movistar KOI | 12c | 191.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 106 | 16%17 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Movistar KOI | 10c | 190.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Movistar KOI | 12c | 190$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…04acbacked Movistar KOI | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Movistar KOI | 10c | 159.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed Movistar KOI | 13c | 157.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…a7d4backed Movistar KOI | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Movistar KOI | 13c | 147.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…77cdbacked Movistar KOI | 13c | 130.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Movistar KOI | 9c | 127.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Movistar KOI | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Movistar KOI | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Movistar KOI | 15c | 90.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Movistar KOI | 12c | 89.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Movistar KOI | 16c | 88.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Movistar KOI | 14c | 85.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…1b96backed Movistar KOI | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Movistar KOI | 18c | 71.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.