NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55b1043e0cc87a2330bc656e1a2c548f35bc9d4a4f3b33c26de4a27c02e1c6b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kraken | 18c | 14,217$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.72 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Flames | 76c | 3,511$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.55 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 9c | 3,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 12c | 2,770$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.01 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken | 10c | 2,549$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.97 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 50c | 2,202$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.26 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…dfe9backed Kraken | 11c | 2,078$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Kraken | 72c | 1,897$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.49 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…161cbacked Kraken | 19c | 1,820$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kraken | 12c | 1,620$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Flames | 39c | 1,243$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.18 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 3c | 1,150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Kraken | 62c | 1,114$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flames | 40c | 1,000$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.73 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Flames | 79c | 803.95$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Flames | 41c | 733.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Kraken | 58c | 699.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Flames | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Kraken | 13c | 640.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 59c | 504.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.49 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames | 38c | 424.94$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.46 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flames | 38c | 405.12$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flames | 40c | 399.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Kraken | 59c | 379.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.19 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 66c | 376.94$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 60c | 284.19$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.86 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken | 9c | 262.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb210…1317backed Flames | 41c | 237.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de6…ab57backed Flames | 43c | 233.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Flames | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf835…28d3backed Flames | 42c | 225.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Flames | 38c | 170.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…b90ebacked Kraken | 61c | 166.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kraken | 58c | 154.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…9b96backed Kraken | 61c | 150.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 40c | 146.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kraken | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…1a52backed Flames | 40c | 141.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Flames | 28c | 137.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3e…f454backed Flames | 40c | 129.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…1ac2backed Flames | 41c | 127.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…32e8backed Flames | 41c | 125.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…5919backed Kraken | 12c | 121.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…c35ebacked Kraken | 61c | 120.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…0ab6backed Flames | 42c | 119.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Kraken | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Flames | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…906abacked Flames | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Kraken | 14c | 109.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…0144backed Kraken | 61c | 108.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Flames | 41c | 108.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…e461backed Flames | 41c | 105.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…bfccbacked Kraken | 61c | 104.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…cb9ebacked Flames | 41c | 100.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Flames | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Kraken | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…1f89backed Kraken | 62c | 94.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…74a7backed Kraken | 61c | 93.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…f05fbacked Flames | 43c | 91.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…960dbacked Kraken | 60c | 89.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…0b95backed Kraken | 62c | 88.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Flames | 43c | 87.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…6d19backed Kraken | 60c | 84.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…bed5backed Kraken | 60c | 84.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abf…d5e6backed Kraken | 61c | 83.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…fd2abacked Kraken | 60c | 83.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…462bbacked Flames | 43c | 83.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…a9bfbacked Kraken | 62c | 81.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kraken | 62c | 81.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…bd62backed Kraken | 61c | 80.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…fd50backed Kraken | 61c | 74.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…426cbacked Flames | 41c | 74.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…8dfbbacked Flames | 42c | 74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b3…b20abacked Flames | 40c | 70.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7aa…9e38backed Kraken | 58c | 67.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…7bf8backed Flames | 41c | 67.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…92acbacked Kraken | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Flames | 42c | 63.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6004…8b05backed Kraken | 60c | 62.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Flames | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0680…6b93backed Flames | 42c | 62.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Flames | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…e28dbacked Kraken | 59c | 55.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb92…a880backed Flames | 41c | 55.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4a50backed Flames | 41c | 52.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…fcbbbacked Kraken | 61c | 51.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Flames | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Flames | 40c | 49.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fc…61c6backed Kraken | 57c | 47.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Flames | 41c | 45.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…2dd0backed Kraken | 60c | 41.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…3c4abacked Flames | 43c | 41.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…0a67backed Flames | 43c | 40.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2274…4e7cbacked Flames | 42c | 40.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e8…830abacked Flames | 46c | 40.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf538…9158backed Kraken | 59c | 40.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Kraken | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc21…f227backed Flames | 46c | 39.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…acfebacked Flames | 42c | 37.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…372cbacked Kraken | 58c | 37.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.