Cricket · resolved market
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x965b53473f8585fa0515e92513946a15294a1074a8ac85c879c65025c8f73b53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royal Challengers Bangaloreof Lucknow Super Giants, Royal Challengers Bangalore
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe44…555fbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 59c | 29,378$17,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,044.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa3…3199backed Lucknow Super Giants | 41c | 29,378$12,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,044.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 59c | 4,864$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lucknow Super Giants | 41c | 4,148$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 40c | 706.01$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.55 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa015…c0fdbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 41c | 667$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e305backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 59c | 667$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Lucknow Super Giants | 40c | 363$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 59c | 339.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Lucknow Super Giants | 79c | 210.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…76a5backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lucknow Super Giants | 39c | 141.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 27c | 109.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 78c | 44.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lucknow Super Giants | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.