Golf · resolved market
Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 RBC Heritage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42cd654d4098fc16d6b50c0351fe5ca4218c06662d9831eb91d4e7db5ae15a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 29c | 11,555$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,201.35 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 24c | 3,359$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 74c | 2,419$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.65 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 63c | 1,455$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.79 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 70c | 1,418$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 70c | 1,379$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 47c | 1,360$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6fbbbacked Yes | 35c | 1,148$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 31c | 647.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.19 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 59c | 556$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Yes | 25c | 545$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 47c | 495$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 66c | 462$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 20c | 440$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 74c | 268.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 74c | 134.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 75c | 130$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2894…c2f7backed Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 67c | 126$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 78c | 125$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…3606backed Yes | 26c | 81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…b6e8backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…0a51backed Yes | 25c | 78.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…c07fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes | 29c | 68.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4846backed No | 66c | 65.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 25c | 58.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ac…48cbbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa9…e577backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 75c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked No | 67c | 41.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 74c | 40.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0b…1077backed No | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7b76backed No | 66c | 18.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 RBC Heritage?this page
- Will Andrew Novak win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Ludvig Åberg win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Shane Lowry win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.