Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 RBC Heritage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdcdc0a9d9d4c4821a1611e2da4ee3a7200ae105d3767d965ea669c356f42ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 18c | 3,120$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…331dbacked Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Yes | 32c | 545.33$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Yes | 34c | 505.72$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Yes | 13c | 391.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…feffbacked Yes | 30c | 264.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6fbbbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 172.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 79c | 152.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8c…73cfbacked Yes | 15c | 132.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 72c | 123.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…c07fbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…ec33backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…1c65backed No | 72c | 91.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 75c | 85.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…c7d9backed No | 72c | 81.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 28c | 81.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee9…07d1backed No | 72c | 80.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…0a51backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…cce7backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…044dbacked Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 RBC Heritage?this page
- Will Andrew Novak win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 RBC Heritage?Yes won
- Will Ludvig Åberg win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Shane Lowry win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 RBC Heritage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.