Cricket · resolved market
Mumbai Indians vs. Lucknow Super Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf76aca41e6c28aac01c1283605ac6c43c75e8e4c91ed70f55f8a47285b6c31a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mumbai Indiansof Mumbai Indians, Lucknow Super Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4db1…7a85backed Lucknow Super Giants | 38c | 2,032$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mumbai Indians | 62c | 1,592$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.02 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Lucknow Super Giants | 39c | 663.59$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…3e7dbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 38c | 421.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…a3fdbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 20c | 366.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Mumbai Indians | 63c | 317.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mumbai Indians | 63c | 299.97$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…76a5backed Lucknow Super Giants | 36c | 299.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 283.51$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…1f9cbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 37c | 246.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mumbai Indians | 61c | 237.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1204…4ba6backed Mumbai Indians | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lucknow Super Giants | 37c | 155.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Mumbai Indians | 63c | 117.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mumbai Indians | 61c | 93.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef8…7effbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 25c | 92.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Lucknow Super Giants | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lucknow Super Giants | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…086abacked Mumbai Indians | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Mumbai Indians | 62c | 59.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mumbai Indians | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…9dc6backed Lucknow Super Giants | 40c | 44.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…8d3bbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 38c | 43.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mumbai Indians | 62c | 43.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…3878backed Lucknow Super Giants | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…743bbacked Mumbai Indians | 63c | 36.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…4608backed Lucknow Super Giants | 39c | 35.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…774bbacked Mumbai Indians | 63c | 33.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa735…71e8backed Lucknow Super Giants | 39c | 32.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…4436backed Lucknow Super Giants | 40c | 32.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…4526backed Mumbai Indians | 65c | 29.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…a2ddbacked Mumbai Indians | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…5e51backed Lucknow Super Giants | 39c | 28.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…30b8backed Lucknow Super Giants | 38c | 27.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…554cbacked Mumbai Indians | 65c | 25.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…682fbacked Mumbai Indians | 63c | 25.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…c911backed Lucknow Super Giants | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Mumbai Indians | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…4739backed Mumbai Indians | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73eb…bf0bbacked Mumbai Indians | 67c | 22.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…65cebacked Mumbai Indians | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a5d1backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 21.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32f…4474backed Mumbai Indians | 65c | 21.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…fd4abacked Mumbai Indians | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mumbai Indians | 65c | 18.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Mumbai Indians | 60c | 17.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…3fc3backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 17.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…3531backed Mumbai Indians | 64c | 16.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.