MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b7363b0f16081993abb265f43920ae611a01e59b766306d15e45f1c02e03fd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Tigers | 1c | 7,485$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 11c | 3,049$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 52c | 1,834$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.81 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Rangers | 48c | 1,669$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.05 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers | 48c | 1,595$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.3 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Tigers | 5c | 1,450$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 23c | 1,378$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.76 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.87 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Tigers | 53c | 990.55$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Rangers | 47c | 619$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.07 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 12c | 555.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 49c | 453.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rangers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Tigers | 51c | 393.15$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Tigers | 42c | 340$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 47c | 302.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tigers | 12c | 268.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 49c | 240.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Tigers | 52c | 238.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…d419backed Tigers | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 17c | 137.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tigers | 52c | 133.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Rangers | 47c | 129.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 14c | 128.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Tigers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Tigers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Rangers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Tigers | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tigers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tigers | 19c | 53.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 51c | 49.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Rangers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Tigers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers | 63c | 37.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 49c | 33.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rangers | 67c | 29.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…c94fbacked Tigers | 53c | 26.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…57b9backed Rangers | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…ec8bbacked Tigers | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.