MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73e4e147f9181218b74c80244b45a4d8d4305c54a3ee5f3a68011ba2696ab7c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yankees | 57c | 20,338$11,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,745.43 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Athletics | 43c | 17,298$7,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,438.14 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Athletics | 0c | 5,885$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Athletics | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Athletics | 44c | 3,480$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.62 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yankees | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…51d5backed Athletics | 43c | 2,673$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…771cbacked Athletics | 43c | 2,615$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 43c | 2,353$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.18 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…838bbacked Yankees | 57c | 1,971$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a0…29d6backed Yankees | 57c | 1,869$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 62c | 1,845$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.08 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 56c | 1,471$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…9e30backed Yankees | 57c | 1,448$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 11c | 1,046$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Yankees | 56c | 1,004$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Athletics | 44c | 1,004$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 5c | 628.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Athletics | 43c | 620.71$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.9 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 42c | 606.43$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yankees | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Athletics | 43c | 467$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 24c | 436.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Yankees | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…0dadbacked Yankees | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 15c | 157.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Yankees | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yankees | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Yankees | 59c | 85.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Athletics | 24c | 82.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5854…8d98backed Yankees | 57c | 76.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Athletics | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Yankees | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Yankees | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Athletics | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…0a04backed Athletics | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…b598backed Yankees | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yankees | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…71b2backed Yankees | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…663ebacked Athletics | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103b…6b22backed Athletics | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Yankees | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 45c | 33.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yankees | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…bd1bbacked Athletics | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Athletics | 42c | 27.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…36c8backed Yankees | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…8d7fbacked Athletics | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Yankees | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.