MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf178bb833398b2c03249564764bccfa5060b8a115a2f78d2299b7f18535849f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Pirates, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,315,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,317,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,315,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Pirates | 58c | 1,127,489$652,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652,335.52 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 43c | 577,490$248,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329,169.22 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies | 44c | 343,000$150,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,569.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies | 54c | 124,160$67,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,954.76 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Rockies | 43c | 45,000$19,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,650 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Rockies | 43c | 34,800$14,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,836 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rockies | 9c | 34,007$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,984.39 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 75c | 25,151$18,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,840.9 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Pirates | 0c | 16,041$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 43c | 15,200$6,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,664 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rockies | 25c | 12,329$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,307.91 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Pirates | 65c | 11,422$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 4c | 10,651$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,221.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…6141backed Pirates | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 43c | 9,478$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,402.46 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pirates | 57c | 9,460$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,352.2 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rockies | 22c | 7,670$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.9 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 6c | 6,714$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,290.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 44c | 4,203$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockies | 43c | 3,680$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rockies | 44c | 3,333$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.43 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 3c | 3,042$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.58 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Pirates | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.01 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Rockies | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Pirates | 24c | 2,395$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Rockies | 5c | 2,134$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.67 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 17c | 1,910$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rockies | 4c | 1,766$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.3 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Rockies | 44c | 1,750$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.39 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Rockies | 43c | 1,694$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.59 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies | 3c | 1,630$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.7 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies | 8c | 1,611$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.11 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Rockies | 2c | 1,472$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.82 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies | 5c | 1,182$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.07 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rockies | 45c | 1,012$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.71 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies | 44c | 932.84$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.39 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Pirates | 55c | 902.32$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.28 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Rockies | 44c | 887.99$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.28 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pirates | 55c | 881$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.55 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Pirates | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Rockies | 5c | 831.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.61 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies | 43c | 814$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 28c | 802.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Pirates | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Pirates | 56c | 679.89$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.74 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Rockies | 45c | 605.56$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 5c | 586.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Rockies | 13c | 580$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.7 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 45c | 499.89$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.34 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rockies | 44c | 449.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Pirates | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e2…2a59backed Rockies | 5c | 400$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +347.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…521fbacked Pirates | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 57c | 348.04$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Rockies | 5c | 333.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.35 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 56c | 300.03$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Pirates | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pirates | 57c | 275$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rockies | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.23 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies | 5c | 268$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.6 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Pirates | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rockies | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pirates | 70c | 225$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies | 45c | 209.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 41c | 202.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockies | 6c | 200$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pirates | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Pirates | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…7958backed Pirates | 56c | 187.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 59c | 183.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rockies | 9c | 180.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pirates | 57c | 179.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Pirates | 56c | 167$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Pirates | 58c | 142.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Pirates | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Pirates | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…07f0backed Pirates | 56c | 106.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…1e74backed Pirates | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Rockies | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Pirates | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rockies | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 56c | 98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed Pirates | 57c | 95.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pirates | 57c | 95.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Pirates | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.