MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9917f944e3d5506640e9ef63cfde4ca7c1226c57f53e2efc0c0422bf2d2da3ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Nationals | 32c | 401,198$128,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273,031.35 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Twins | 68c | 135,931$92,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,433.25 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 68c | 125,000$85,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,000 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Twins | 68c | 60,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Twins | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 8c | 20,909$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.33 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 68c | 14,769$10,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,043.02 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 31c | 11,190$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins | 68c | 8,400$5,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 69c | 6,005$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Twins | 69c | 5,120$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.61 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Twins | 15c | 4,697$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Twins | 69c | 4,600$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Twins | 6c | 3,746$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Twins | 69c | 3,716$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.04 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 6c | 3,499$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 46c | 3,171$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.65 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Twins | 63c | 2,691$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.78 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Twins | 72c | 2,614$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.22 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Twins | 69c | 2,488$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.94 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins | 14c | 2,323$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Twins | 14c | 2,294$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.23 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 1c | 2,201$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Twins | 69c | 1,671$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 68c | 1,664$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.7 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Nationals | 30c | 1,500$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.98 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Twins | 3c | 1,050$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 9c | 952.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Nationals | 32c | 900$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Nationals | 31c | 888$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.72 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 31c | 751.96$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.85 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Twins | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 32c | 708$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.44 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 32c | 642$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.56 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 31c | 599.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.97 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 2c | 592.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 29c | 503$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Twins | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 31c | 399.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.92 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Twins | 21c | 356.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 31c | 322.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Nationals | 47c | 289$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Nationals | 66c | 286.49$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 31c | 249.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.34 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Twins | 33c | 227$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Twins | 61c | 225.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Nationals | 32c | 224.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.87 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Twins | 48c | 207.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Twins | 63c | 204.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Nationals | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Nationals | 67c | 192.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Twins | 36c | 167.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Nationals | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Twins | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Twins | 62c | 129.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Twins | 67c | 125.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Twins | 21c | 118$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Twins | 69c | 110.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Twins | 68c | 108$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nationals | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Nationals | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 32c | 96.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 30c | 96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Nationals | 31c | 95.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Twins | 69c | 93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Twins | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 58c | 83.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Twins | 62c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Twins | 62c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Nationals | 30c | 76.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Twins | 69c | 74.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Nationals | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Twins | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Twins | 70c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Twins | 70c | 66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Twins | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Nationals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Twins | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Twins | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Nationals | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Twins | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nationals | 32c | 49.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 32c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Nationals | 66c | 39.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Twins | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Twins | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Twins | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Nationals | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Twins | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.