Champions League · resolved market
Will Ousmane Dembélé be named the Champions League Final man of the match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5e84b373e6cd109f09c3f35daf40213413d91e8a63c2b66669340aa5234a4e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabd8…1228backed Yes | 2c | 11,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 16c | 1,706$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 28cpaid | +498.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 9c | 904.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 25c | 569.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 75c | 359.08$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…a661backed Yes | 20c | 196.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…b185backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Yes | 35c | 144.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55de…455dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…e786backed Yes | 19c | 106.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 16c | 78.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…3402backed Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 79c | 68.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ousmane Dembélé be named the Champions League Final man of the match?this page
- Will Achraf Hakimi be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will Alessandro Bastoni be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will Davide Frattesi be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will Denzel Dumfries be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will Federico Dimarco be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will Gianluigi Donnarumma be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will Hakan Çalhanoğlu be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will João Neves be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will Lautaro Martínez be named the Champions League Final Man of the Match?No won
- Will Marcus Thuram be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will Nicolò Barella be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will Vitinha be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
- Will Yann Sommer be named the Champions League Final man of the match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.