Tennis · resolved market
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe518666bd8f60017e6e6a9a0a8e5ddaf18a4d881ad56183750fdbcad7f7dcb55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 41c | 2,643$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.76 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…a986backed Yes | 68c | 1,350$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,059$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.13 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…531cbacked No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…253bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe30…0e3bbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…9b50backed No | 60c | 960$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 72c | 878.97$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.64 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c8…56f5backed Yes | 40c | 855$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 62c | 656.73$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…406abacked No | 60c | 650$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5653…7130backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d4…9ab0backed Yes | 41c | 410$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e35ebacked Yes | 41c | 395$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a91…9e12backed No | 60c | 345$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7a…e5d7backed Yes | 40c | 310$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 73c | 243.84$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 78c | 214.81$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 72c | 181.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 66c | 159$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed No | 34c | 159$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +388.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…b313backed Yes | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…e35fbacked Yes | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb923…6508backed Yes | 29c | 124.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa034…32c3backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…c256backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 42c | 109.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…e5c1backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 46c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…2e58backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 73c | 54.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…f6d4backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…42d7backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…a150backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Yes | 42c | 46.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Yes | 70c | 43.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…a047backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?this page
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?No won
- Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?Yes won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.