TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,852 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe84c…208cbacked No17c990$168 inLost-$168.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No15c615.76$92 inLost-$92.086939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked No19c318$60 inLost-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No21c90$19 inLost-$18.813832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No15c82$13 inLost-$12.71633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No13c81.11$10 inLost-$10.1666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed No14c74.73$11 inLost-$10.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No19c55$10 inLost-$10.4525329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes78c41$32 inWon+$9.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.