World Politics · resolved market
Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa334392ed0a06006c57dbf787ee9eaf69d52535ee8b8d8786ca271592a7f46d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,001,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,001,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf58a…e524backed Yes | 0c | 595,811$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33d…45c5backed Yes | 0c | 549,979$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…0ccfbacked Yes | 0c | 549,979$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eff…a545backed Yes | 0c | 549,979$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…7b58backed Yes | 0c | 549,979$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a3…4f8cbacked Yes | 0c | 549,979$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…fe3bbacked Yes | 0c | 549,979$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb493…223abacked Yes | 0c | 549,979$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…3767backed Yes | 0c | 549,979$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…2334backed Yes | 0c | 549,979$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…a16cbacked Yes | 0c | 547,147$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0d…29b8backed Yes | 0c | 547,147$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…7b8fbacked Yes | 0c | 504,147$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…2d88backed Yes | 0c | 504,147$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…dc48backed Yes | 0c | 272,790$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…c933backed Yes | 0c | 272,790$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…13efbacked Yes | 0c | 182,968$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…2f04backed Yes | 0c | 181,860$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…83f6backed Yes | 0c | 181,860$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…6bacbacked Yes | 0c | 181,860$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…1dfabacked Yes | 0c | 181,860$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 152,969$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…e145backed Yes | 0c | 152,114$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ad…bfb8backed Yes | 0c | 152,114$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…4cacbacked Yes | 0c | 152,114$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…4e1bbacked Yes | 0c | 152,114$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…6444backed Yes | 0c | 152,114$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…bb93backed Yes | 0c | 152,114$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf176…6fcfbacked Yes | 0c | 152,114$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9040…4657backed Yes | 0c | 151,550$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…7221backed Yes | 0c | 151,550$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66d…a6aebacked Yes | 0c | 137,495$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d767backed Yes | 0c | 122,108$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…feafbacked Yes | 0c | 122,108$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…8bf7backed Yes | 0c | 122,094$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…84a5backed Yes | 0c | 122,094$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1218backed Yes | 0c | 121,691$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…d812backed Yes | 0c | 121,614$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…b5f2backed Yes | 0c | 121,610$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b72…01c7backed Yes | 0c | 121,600$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd4…332fbacked Yes | 0c | 121,240$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…3d97backed Yes | 0c | 121,240$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…0a93backed Yes | 0c | 121,240$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…675abacked Yes | 0c | 121,240$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…e479backed Yes | 0c | 101,418$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb081…7358backed Yes | 0c | 97,449$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6180…b73ebacked Yes | 0c | 97,449$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…5bb8backed Yes | 0c | 93,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…df4ebacked Yes | 0c | 93,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…2cdfbacked Yes | 0c | 93,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…f9dcbacked Yes | 0c | 93,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…bf8dbacked Yes | 0c | 92,660$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…1459backed Yes | 0c | 92,649$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…ab24backed Yes | 0c | 92,630$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…a41bbacked Yes | 0c | 92,559$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…a3babacked Yes | 0c | 92,552$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…82b2backed Yes | 0c | 92,542$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…edc6backed Yes | 0c | 92,540$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26a…0963backed Yes | 0c | 92,520$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…cf66backed Yes | 0c | 89,837$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…7c31backed Yes | 0c | 80,732$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cf…f1c6backed Yes | 0c | 79,732$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…4b53backed Yes | 0c | 79,731$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cd…3477backed Yes | 0c | 79,731$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…6151backed Yes | 0c | 70,872$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b8…35c6backed Yes | 0c | 63,653$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…d6cdbacked Yes | 0c | 63,653$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…28e2backed Yes | 0c | 63,100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…561abacked Yes | 0c | 62,040$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…80e6backed Yes | 0c | 62,013$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…fd07backed Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…1fe4backed Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…f743backed Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…3f3ebacked Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb63…2632backed Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…94e3backed Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…319ebacked Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…6b67backed Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…cce2backed Yes | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…20b4backed Yes | 0c | 61,910$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…01eabacked Yes | 0c | 61,910$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…a49dbacked Yes | 0c | 61,910$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…aea7backed Yes | 0c | 61,910$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…ad8ebacked Yes | 0c | 61,899$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…902abacked Yes | 0c | 61,895$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3b…02e7backed Yes | 0c | 61,893$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…a590backed Yes | 0c | 61,890$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…5a4ebacked Yes | 0c | 61,845$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…a099backed Yes | 0c | 61,838$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb486…0c58backed Yes | 0c | 61,788$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…2683backed Yes | 0c | 61,765$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…73e0backed Yes | 0c | 61,760$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…8f7fbacked Yes | 0c | 61,754$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…e7e5backed Yes | 0c | 61,750$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c8…e301backed Yes | 0c | 61,749$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…ae37backed Yes | 0c | 61,746$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…2dbdbacked Yes | 0c | 61,745$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…0348backed Yes | 0c | 61,720$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…1834backed Yes | 0c | 61,706$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…7118backed Yes | 0c | 61,700$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?this page
- Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No won
- Will José Luiz Datena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No won
- Will Marina Helena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No won
- Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No won
- Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.