World Politics · resolved market
Will Marina Helena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe80c03604e9055bfa5ed975f54f0e49b2846048a15e65541a066a8cdc984f139
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,849,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,849,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc990…a8a1backed Yes | 0c | 269,944$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…89dcbacked Yes | 0c | 220,662$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e6…8cabbacked Yes | 0c | 220,531$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…ec1fbacked Yes | 0c | 195,260$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…8d03backed Yes | 0c | 195,168$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e0…4889backed Yes | 0c | 162,934$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…b3c1backed Yes | 0c | 162,934$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…66bfbacked Yes | 0c | 159,425$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…c96ebacked Yes | 0c | 152,214$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…acf3backed Yes | 0c | 151,746$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc86…9412backed Yes | 0c | 148,544$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08bc…3db3backed Yes | 0c | 147,551$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d3…f93ebacked Yes | 0c | 147,551$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…fc3fbacked Yes | 0c | 147,540$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…7c9ebacked Yes | 0c | 147,540$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…6026backed Yes | 0c | 147,540$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…f18cbacked Yes | 0c | 147,540$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313e…37cdbacked Yes | 0c | 147,457$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…3c0ebacked Yes | 0c | 147,457$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…d896backed Yes | 0c | 146,933$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…b76dbacked Yes | 0c | 146,933$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a4…e19ebacked Yes | 0c | 146,933$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4005…33a0backed Yes | 0c | 146,933$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…4927backed Yes | 0c | 143,428$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8751…c79bbacked Yes | 0c | 143,428$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…3fd3backed Yes | 0c | 138,120$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4f…c6b2backed Yes | 0c | 125,461$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…3091backed Yes | 0c | 122,959$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5503…7de2backed Yes | 0c | 122,939$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06cb…4dbdbacked Yes | 0c | 122,939$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…1c6fbacked Yes | 0c | 122,939$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…9970backed Yes | 0c | 122,939$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…5a13backed Yes | 0c | 122,939$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…9cb0backed Yes | 0c | 122,939$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c595backed Yes | 0c | 122,201$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…7460backed Yes | 0c | 122,201$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b6…0588backed Yes | 0c | 122,201$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…586dbacked Yes | 0c | 122,201$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…9c30backed Yes | 0c | 120,758$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…9aa4backed Yes | 0c | 120,758$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…836ebacked Yes | 0c | 108,845$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd07d…0954backed Yes | 0c | 108,845$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cc…6afebacked Yes | 0c | 108,845$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1131…5410backed Yes | 0c | 107,011$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…4d9ebacked Yes | 0c | 104,551$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…6511backed Yes | 0c | 104,551$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf643…7cd3backed Yes | 0c | 104,551$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4a…5ef8backed Yes | 0c | 104,551$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…0ddebacked Yes | 0c | 104,551$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d84…f74cbacked Yes | 0c | 104,551$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…b027backed Yes | 0c | 102,449$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ad…6d9cbacked Yes | 0c | 102,449$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53f…0f38backed Yes | 0c | 102,449$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd9…c2e6backed Yes | 0c | 102,449$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…6857backed Yes | 0c | 102,449$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773d…c468backed Yes | 0c | 101,834$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…7cccbacked Yes | 0c | 101,834$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ece…9772backed Yes | 0c | 101,834$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64e…bd14backed Yes | 0c | 101,834$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadf…2a05backed Yes | 0c | 101,834$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…72dcbacked Yes | 0c | 101,834$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…5976backed Yes | 0c | 101,834$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f44…cd05backed Yes | 0c | 101,834$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…9f51backed Yes | 0c | 101,834$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…3e2ebacked Yes | 0c | 101,834$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…a5eebacked Yes | 0c | 98,950$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…fd4abacked Yes | 0c | 98,950$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…05a8backed Yes | 0c | 98,950$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…abc4backed Yes | 0c | 97,955$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…7ef2backed Yes | 0c | 97,955$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 97,366$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c9…4f58backed Yes | 0c | 97,139$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…f154backed Yes | 0c | 93,679$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88a…34d3backed Yes | 0c | 83,641$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…09bbbacked Yes | 0c | 83,641$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78a…a2d3backed Yes | 0c | 83,641$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…2276backed Yes | 0c | 83,641$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…8d1fbacked Yes | 0c | 81,959$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…6fb7backed Yes | 0c | 81,959$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6171…3043backed Yes | 0c | 81,959$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…22d8backed Yes | 0c | 81,959$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…17afbacked Yes | 0c | 81,959$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b7…28fdbacked Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c21…80d8backed Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c9…6b5abacked Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7c…f039backed Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…818ebacked Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd463…68ccbacked Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…b926backed Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…c1e4backed Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…588fbacked Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…ef44backed Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…fc6abacked Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c94…fefebacked Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a72…82aebacked Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…7df2backed Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793e…5ac9backed Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd504…f044backed Yes | 0c | 81,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…1861backed Yes | 0c | 79,163$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…dff6backed Yes | 0c | 79,160$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Marina Helena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?this page
- Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No won
- Will José Luiz Datena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No won
- Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No won
- Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No won
- Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.