NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a740f5ca5d18ea26298cef319ffbe7c7b65c650dcfd63fdc3b593f1fb4a0891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 985 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Rockets | 49c | 40,908$20,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,091.27 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Rockets | 39c | 18,411$7,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,142.59 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Timberwolves | 50c | 15,958$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,028.27 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 12,993$6,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,508.99 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 62c | 11,635$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Timberwolves | 39c | 10,194$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,218.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 56c | 8,948$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.23 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rockets | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 45c | 7,040$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.47 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 49c | 6,469$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 46c | 6,168$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.85 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,817$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.62 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 35c | 4,763$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.82 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Rockets | 55c | 4,575$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.98 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Rockets | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets | 0c | 4,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…b233backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,089$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,750$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.3 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Timberwolves | 42c | 2,402$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.57 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…6c05backed Rockets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.87 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Rockets | 67c | 1,912$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.08 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…46a9backed Rockets | 52c | 1,905$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Rockets | 75c | 1,863$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Rockets | 51c | 1,767$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…14dfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…ea54backed Rockets | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,143$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.7 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.16 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…b469backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Rockets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Rockets | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…5d4ebacked Timberwolves | 4c | 976.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +438.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…e615backed Timberwolves | 4c | 881.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +131%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Rockets | 57c | 877.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 36c | 806$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…c136backed Timberwolves | 3c | 794.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.39 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…e123backed Timberwolves | 48c | 787.84$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 781.83$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.28 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Rockets | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 47c | 759.98$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.79 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rockets | 2c | 671.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 639.96$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.18 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a2…a885backed Timberwolves | 50c | 630$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…403fbacked Rockets | 51c | 630$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Rockets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Rockets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…24d0backed Rockets | 51c | 566$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rockets | 47c | 539.08$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.58 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Rockets | 31c | 514.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Rockets | 51c | 500$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 42c | 500$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…b9c9backed Timberwolves | 3c | 500$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Rockets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Rockets | 51c | 476.69$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.71 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 437.16$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Rockets | 51c | 429.76$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0e…f4c6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 409.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Rockets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Timberwolves | 42c | 399.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.61 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Rockets | 51c | 392.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rockets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Rockets | 49c | 389.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.58 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 49c | 376.07$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.98 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Timberwolves | 48c | 362$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.52 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Timberwolves | 28c | 356.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.37 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 349.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.53 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Rockets | 60c | 344.08$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.15 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 58c | 335.38$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Timberwolves | 13c | 325.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.31 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Rockets | 56c | 325.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Rockets | 52c | 311$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 310$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Rockets | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…04e1backed Timberwolves | 21c | 289$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Timberwolves | 52c | 287.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Rockets | 53c | 284.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 283.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Rockets | 56c | 278.21$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Rockets | 51c | 277.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Timberwolves | 49c | 257$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…3405backed Rockets | 54c | 255.22$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 254.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Timberwolves | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bea…41cfbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 245.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rockets | 39c | 228.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockets | 52c | 224.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Timberwolves | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked Rockets | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…cf3fbacked Rockets | 53c | 218.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…7a0ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…a505backed Timberwolves | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.