MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe4276a47e24b6c1c6bae668326d9115817c953c448589053d5910169b6a8a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $721,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $725,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 62c | 602,782$373,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373,563.3 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 38c | 520,014$197,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322,408.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 62c | 45,300$28,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,086 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Pirates | 38c | 39,150$14,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,273 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates | 38c | 18,400$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,407.97 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 62c | 15,005$9,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,303.25 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Pirates | 38c | 14,384$5,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,917.8 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Pirates | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.51 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Pirates | 38c | 12,222$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,577.64 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 63c | 12,055$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.29 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pirates | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Pirates | 38c | 9,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,580 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 39c | 6,881$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,197.41 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 60c | 6,211$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.45 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 34c | 5,560$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Pirates | 39c | 5,012$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Cardinals | 61c | 3,557$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Pirates | 38c | 3,400$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cardinals | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 48c | 2,619$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pirates | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 38c | 2,241$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.46 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 38c | 2,100$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,878$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Pirates | 59c | 1,876$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.74 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Pirates | 66c | 1,439$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.6 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates | 39c | 1,350$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.49 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Cardinals | 36c | 1,345$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.05 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 51c | 1,342$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cardinals | 61c | 1,250$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.5 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 38c | 1,048$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.92 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Cardinals | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 39c | 900$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 38c | 782.79$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.33 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Pirates | 39c | 769$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.09 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 39c | 769$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.09 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 54c | 466.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 77c | 445.35$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…7aa1backed Pirates | 39c | 435.9$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Pirates | 39c | 417.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.95 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Cardinals | 62c | 417.9$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.1 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Cardinals | 18c | 402.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 39c | 349.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be8…9d40backed Cardinals | 61c | 300.07$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 36c | 286.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cardinals | 62c | 283.87$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Pirates | 38c | 280$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 40c | 262.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 34c | 257.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Pirates | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Cardinals | 63c | 221.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 74c | 221.46$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 40c | 217$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Pirates | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Pirates | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Cardinals | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Cardinals | 62c | 170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Cardinals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cardinals | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…0379backed Cardinals | 62c | 135.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Pirates | 74c | 135.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Pirates | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Cardinals | 33c | 122.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Pirates | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Pirates | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Pirates | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pirates | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Pirates | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Pirates | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Pirates | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 39c | 93.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Cardinals | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Cardinals | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 35c | 82.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Cardinals | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Cardinals | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Pirates | 28c | 72.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Cardinals | 38c | 71.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Pirates | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals | 62c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Pirates | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Pirates | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Cardinals | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 42.2%81 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Cardinals | 62c | 43.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Pirates | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Cardinals | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…c009backed Cardinals | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Spread: Cardinals (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.