NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2ea0b6fe3aefccbf6fa4f47b2fa6065fea52343c19c5596c44b9a083b7635d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Islanders, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 623 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Islanders | 32c | 32,368$10,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,512.71 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Lightning | 68c | 21,304$14,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.73 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Lightning | 70c | 13,286$9,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.42 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 33c | 8,400$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.25 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders | 31c | 5,825$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.58 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Islanders | 1c | 5,715$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Islanders | 32c | 5,434$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.92 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Islanders | 33c | 5,137$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.17 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…46e2backed Lightning | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Lightning | 69c | 4,514$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Islanders | 32c | 3,988$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.17 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 8c | 3,814$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Islanders | 31c | 3,701$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.08 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Lightning | 69c | 3,461$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.91 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lightning | 69c | 2,737$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.47 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…a678backed Islanders | 30c | 2,600$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…70a7backed Islanders | 30c | 2,400$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 68c | 2,388$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.15 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 68c | 2,368$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.78 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 66c | 2,004$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.41 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Lightning | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Islanders | 31c | 1,998$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 73c | 1,763$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.83 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 67c | 1,754$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.1 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders | 32c | 1,730$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.64 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 63c | 1,675$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.44 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Islanders | 37c | 1,545$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.45 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Lightning | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Islanders | 30c | 1,399$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.7 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Islanders | 32c | 1,185$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.14 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lightning | 69c | 953.99$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.74 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders | 34c | 845$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.37 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Lightning | 66c | 827.56$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.37 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders | 33c | 725.22$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.32 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lightning | 70c | 715$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Lightning | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Lightning | 67c | 615.76$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Lightning | 69c | 574.72$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Lightning | 67c | 503.7$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Lightning | 68c | 379.12$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5240backed Islanders | 17c | 333.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Lightning | 68c | 312.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Lightning | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Lightning | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Islanders | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lightning | 68c | 294.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lightning | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Islanders | 32c | 283.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 31c | 278.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 78c | 227.56$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Lightning | 66c | 226$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 69c | 222$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Lightning | 68c | 221.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Lightning | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Islanders | 31c | 218$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Islanders | 36c | 217.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…07f9backed Lightning | 67c | 208.96$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 67c | 202.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Islanders | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Islanders | 21c | 199.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea6…0d85backed Islanders | 26c | 186.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…febebacked Islanders | 7c | 186.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 71c | 178$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Lightning | 68c | 178$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Islanders | 34c | 170.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…4feebacked Lightning | 68c | 155.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Lightning | 77c | 155.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…f8efbacked Islanders | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Lightning | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Islanders | 33c | 138$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47d…c6acbacked Islanders | 18c | 128.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Islanders | 32c | 110.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Islanders | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…dd6ebacked Lightning | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Lightning | 68c | 104$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Lightning | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Islanders | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…ef31backed Islanders | 31c | 98.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…452dbacked Islanders | 32c | 86.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Lightning | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2632…d011backed Islanders | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…cddbbacked Lightning | 68c | 67.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Lightning | 75c | 67.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Lightning | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…79f2backed Islanders | 32c | 61.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…a802backed Lightning | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1fe8backed Islanders | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Lightning | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Lightning | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…78e6backed Lightning | 70c | 54.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…f7fbbacked Islanders | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…47a1backed Islanders | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e275backed Islanders | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.