NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bbe730843513b9e386465d1f0a0f33b06efb5591c6f9f832a629f2d13a49d36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Hawks, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Hawks | 49c | 10,844$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.56 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 52c | 9,549$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Clippers | 52c | 8,310$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.72 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Hawks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 46c | 4,992$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Clippers | 51c | 4,874$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.15 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 52c | 4,440$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.91 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Clippers | 51c | 3,868$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.32 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Hawks | 47c | 3,820$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.4 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Clippers | 56c | 3,290$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.79 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Hawks | 48c | 2,502$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.05 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Hawks | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.61 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 51c | 990.38$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.08 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Clippers | 52c | 967.54$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.54 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 51c | 820.18$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.89 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 48c | 756.51$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Hawks | 50c | 630.08$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hawks | 48c | 613.65$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.9 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Hawks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Hawks | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Clippers | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Hawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Hawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Hawks | 46c | 306.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Hawks | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers | 51c | 306$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Hawks | 50c | 304$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Hawks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Clippers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Hawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b6…922fbacked Clippers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Hawks | 51c | 151$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Clippers | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hawks | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Clippers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Clippers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Clippers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…746ebacked Clippers | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Hawks | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 56c | 79.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fd…7d56backed Hawks | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Hawks | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Hawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…184cbacked Hawks | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…e9dbbacked Hawks | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Hawks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87cfbacked Hawks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…4db7backed Clippers | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hawks | 44c | 35.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hawks | 51c | 35.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Clippers | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Hawks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Hawks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 44c | 30.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Hawks | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…3ea6backed Clippers | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…e54fbacked Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Clippers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb742…126abacked Clippers | 52c | 19.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)this page
- Clippers vs. HawksClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.