NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4063438bc74543452cb2c7f147b68b10990080127957d73232b53cba9163c0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,551$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 51c | 1,276$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.24 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 1,200$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 46c | 555$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 460.42$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Over | 45c | 441.33$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 255.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Over | 49c | 203.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed Over | 50c | 56.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5this page
- Clippers vs. HawksClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.