NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x047dcf0e9125c517b94e6bc4c4ef9e40d4f99472567a5a2f2eb31a50c8c142c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Hawks, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 48c | 3,991$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Clippers | 53c | 3,750$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…fd93backed Hawks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe971…350cbacked Clippers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 46c | 774.07$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Clippers | 47c | 582$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.46 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Hawks | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Clippers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 49c | 490.03$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Hawks | 56c | 358.71$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 45c | 337$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Clippers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Hawks | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 44c | 262.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Hawks | 54c | 261.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Clippers | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Hawks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Hawks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 52c | 144.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…7605backed Clippers | 48c | 103$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Hawks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…adf5backed Hawks | 47c | 53.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Hawks | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Clippers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hawks | 49c | 40.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Clippers | 51c | 40.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Hawks | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Hawks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Hawks | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)this page
- Clippers vs. HawksClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.