NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67b1561e3d3732f8dbc08f924474e1f6e61ddeb065ca3de5e26991f7641a61bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 54c | 2,619$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.86 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…d4efbacked Under | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…60bcbacked Over | 44c | 1,950$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 55c | 1,363$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.4 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 600$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 562$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.39 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 46c | 516.78$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.72 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 57c | 365$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Over | 44c | 364$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 334.28$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 56c | 271.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 45c | 256.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 191$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722e…78eebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393c…e016backed Over | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a7…b732backed Over | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87cfbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 57c | 31.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…c167backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…3702backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5this page
- Clippers vs. HawksClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.